Conservative MPs with a majority of 8,000 or less 'may want to look for another job'

Lee Anderson, deputy chairman of the Tory party, is one of 104 Tory MPs who are at high risk of losing their seat. Photo: Justin Tallis/AFP via Getty Images

Tory MPs with a majority of 8,000 or less «may want to look for another job» before the next election, a leading pollster has said.

Dr Frank Luntz, a veteran US political strategist, suggested that almost a third of Tory MPs returning to the House of Commons in 2019 were unlikely to be re-elected next year.

Sociologist whose communications skills were praised by David Cameron and Barack Obama had previously told MPs that anyone with a margin of less than 15,000 should be prepared to lose their seat.

But speaking on the first day of the Conservative Party's annual conference in Manchester, Dr Luntz said: that the figure was deliberately «provocative» and that the threshold for concern was actually 8,000.

Telegraph analysis shows that this estimate would be 104. of the 352 Conservative MPs (30 per cent) at risk, including Simon Hart, the chief whip, Steve Baker, the minister for the Northern Ireland office, and Lee Anderson, the party's deputy deputy chairman.< /p> Conservative MPs are at risk.

Saying some Tory MPs would be «shocked» on election day, Dr Luntz told Times Radio: «Some of these MPs have already understood the frustration in society, they have understood the tension between the economy and the environment, and that's what I was talking about.» hearing.

“[They] have expressed their frustrations with immigration, crime and roads, don't see that Labor is going to deliver the changes they want, and they are already winning back disgruntled Tories.

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«So I used this 15,000 mark, frankly, to provoke, and this is obvious. But I would say that if your majority is less than 8,000 people, you might want to look for another job.”

Dr. Luntz, who has been helping political leaders across the Atlantic for more than three decades, added the following: The election was not a foregone conclusion because Sir Keir Starmer's Labor Party had «completely and utterly failed to offer an alternative.»

When asked to give his assessment of Sir Keir, he replied: «Nobody knows who he is.» . Nobody knows what he's talking about. They know that the Labor Party represents change, but they don't know whether it is good change.»