Sir Keir is in first place with 493 seats, while Mr Sunak is in first place with just 139 seats. Photo: HANNAH MACKAY/AFP
Sir Keir The poll found Starmer would be preferred over Rishi Sunak as prime minister by voters with more than three-quarters of the seats in Parliament.
The Labor leader is in first place with 493 seats in England, Scotland and Wales, while Mr Sunak is favored with just 139 seats.
The YouGov poll shows that the Conservative strategy of running a presidential-style election campaign, which is a contest between two men, will be a mistake.
Mr Sunak did not lead Sir Keir even in all Conservative constituencies. is predicted to win, suggesting he is more of a drag on the party's chances than its biggest asset.
In the Prime Minister's own constituency, more people answered “not sure” and then backed Mr Sunak when asked which of the two men would make the better prime minister.
The only ray of hope for Mr Sunak and his supporters is that almost half of all voters say they are unsure which of the two men would make the better prime minister, suggesting millions of people are also unconvinced by Sir Keir.< /p>
It's more bad news for the prime minister as he tries to quell a rebellion among supporters of his flagship Rwanda policy against illegal immigration that has undermined his authority and caused deep divisions. within their party.
Some Tory MPs have discussed the possibility of replacing Mr Sunak before the election, although they are currently in a small minority.
Tory strategists have been pushing for months that their best chance of winning the election is to emphasize leadership to provide competition to Mr Sunak and Sir Keir.
But where Mr Sunak outperformed his party a year ago, the opposite is now true.< /p>Widespread support for tougher policy on Rwanda
In 559 UK seats, Tory support is higher than support for Mr Sunak. The Prime Minister leads his party by just 73 seats.
By contrast, in November 2022, an Ipsos poll found that 47 per cent of voters said they liked Mr Sunak, compared with 26 per cent for his party.
As The Telegraph reported earlier this week, the same poll of 14,000 people predicts a landslide victory for Labor at the next general election, with a majority of 120 seats for Sir Keir and a net loss of 196 seats. seats for the Tories compared to their 2019 result.
The poll also showed widespread support for a much tougher version of Rwanda's legislation.
Voters were asked whether Sunak or Sir Keir would make a better prime minister.
Just 21 per cent of the population chose the incumbent, with 32 per cent favoring the Labor Party leader and 47 per cent saying they were unsure.
Sunak is not the top choice in any constituency
The results were then analyzed using the method multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP), which allowed YouGov to break them down by individual population groups.
Sir Keir received more support than Sunak in 78 per cent of constituencies, with Sunak favored in 22 per cent.
In the North and Midlands, where the Tories won dozens of “Red Wall” constituencies. Boris Johnson's Labor Party performs even better for Sir Keir in 2019, winning 83 per cent of seats.
In the South and London, the Labor leader comes first with 66 per cent of seats.
p>
In the vast majority of counties, the most common answer was “not sure”, but in 74 counties Sir Keir was the top answer.
Mr Sunak was not the best candidate in any constituency.
In the newly created constituency of Richmond and Northallerton, which Mr Sunak will contest at the next election, only 29.4 per cent of voters believed that he would make a better Prime Minister, with 44 per cent saying they were unsure and 25.8 per cent favoring Sir Keir.
By contrast, Sir Keir wins convincingly in his own constituency of Holborn and St Pancras, which received the support of 48 per cent of voters compared with Mr Sunak's 15 per cent, with the rest saying they were unsure.
Northern Ireland, which has 18 parliamentary seats, was not surveyed in the poll.< /p>
The poll found that if elections were held now, the Conservatives would win just 169 seats, while Labor would come to power with 385 seats.
Among those who voted Conservative in 2019 year, only 42 per cent think Sunak is the best choice for prime minister, Sir Keir – 10 per cent, and the rest are unsure.
Recent Comments