Jeremy Hunt among 14 major Conservatives at risk of losing their seats

Jeremy Hunt, Victoria Prentice, Lucy Fraser, Alistair Jacks and David Davis could lose their seats in upcoming elections

Jeremy Hunt According to poll , is among 14 cabinet ministers who could lose their seats at the general election.

Mr Hunt, whose current South West Surrey constituency will cease to exist due to boundary changes, will lose to the Liberal -democrats. in his new position, a survey showed earlier this year.

He will be the first chancellor to lose his seat in an election, but he will not be alone. Other cabinet ministers are expected to lose their seats, as well as senior members of the Conservative Party, including Sir Iain Duncan Smith, the party's former leader.

Overall, according to a YouGov poll of 14,000 people in January, more than half the seats won under Boris Johnson in the 2019 general election would be lost if elections were held now. 

Top Tory forwards who could lose their places

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Cabinet Ministers Jeremy Hunt Godalming and Ash Penny Mordaunt Portsmouth North Grant Shapps Welwyn Hatfield Victoria Prentice Bunbury Gillian Keegan Chichester Alex Chalk Cheltenham Simon Hart Kerfirddin David T.K. Davis Monmouthshire Johnny Mercer, Plymouth Moor, view Lucy Fraser Ely and East Cambridgeshire Alistair Jack Dumfries and Galloway MPs Iain Duncan Smith Chingford and Wood Green Sir John Redwood Wokingham

The Chancellor has said he will stand in the newly created constituency of Godalming and Ash after South West Surrey is dissolved under boundary changes that come into force at the election.

He currently has a majority by 8,817 votes, but a YouGov poll predicts the new seat will go to the Lib Dems with 35 per cent of the vote to Hunt's 32 per cent.

There have been reports Mr Hunt has denied he will step down as an MP because he does not want to risk the humiliation of becoming the first sitting chancellor to lose his seat.

He has had to fight to keep his seat. seat even without the boundary changes, as its majority fell from 28,556 in 2015 and then from 21,590 thanks to gains by the Lib Dems.

The House leader and former Conservative leadership candidate may have boosted her popularity among party members with her steadfast sword-wielding at the coronation, but it will not be enough to prevent her defeat by Labor, polls predict.

The Portsmouth North MP, who increased her majority to 15,780 in 2019, is forecast to lose her seat with 36 per cent of the vote going to Labour, 33 per cent to the Tories and a strong result for Reform UK with 13 per cent. If Reform had not opposed her, Mrs Mordaunt would most likely have won.

This seat is a swing seat, having been held by the overall winner in every general election since the 1970s.

The Defence Secretary was MP for Welwyn Hatfield has been in office since 2005 and, with a 10,995-vote majority, would normally be expected to be in a safe seat.

However, a YouGov poll predicted he would lose to Labor with 40 percent of the vote to his 31 percent, meaning he would be unable to retain his seat even if Reform, which had 8 percent of the vote, dropped out of the race.

With the Lib Dems polling 10 per cent and the Greens nine per cent, Mr Schepps appears to have little opportunity to attract votes from other parties.

The Bunbury constituency, currently held by Victoria Prentice, the attorney-general, has returned a Conservative MP at every election since 1922 — but is one of the Blue Wall seats the Tories could lose.

Despite With Ms Prentice holding a majority of 16,813 votes, she is forecast to narrowly lose to Labor.

UK Reform will be the deciding factor, with seven per cent of the vote — enough to hand victory to Labor with 34.2 percent compared to the Tories' 33.7 percent.

Labour's advantage would be even greater if 14 per cent of Liberal Democrat voters decided to vote tactically to ensure a Conservative defeat.

The Education Secretary has the largest majority of any Cabinet minister predicted to lose her seat.

In 2019, Ms Keegan retained her seat with a majority of 21,490 votes, but the poll gives the Lib Dems victory with 33 per cent of the vote compared to 31 per cent for the Conservatives.

Again, a reformist UK with nine per cent of the vote in the YouGov poll is likely to make the difference between a Tory victory and defeat.

Chichester was last represented by the Lib Dems or Liberals. The party existed in 1923, just a year before the Conservatives recaptured it. He has never had a Labor MP.

Cheltenham has been a battleground between the Tories and Lib Dems for decades and Mr Chalk would lose the final battle if an election were held now.

The Justice Secretary has a majority of just 981 votes as he won the seat from Lib Dems in 2015 and is likely to lose by more than 12 percentage points.

The Lib Dems are forecast to win 42.6 per cent. percent of the vote, with only 30 percent for the Tories. Only five per cent of voters support reform, meaning their support will not be decisive, compared with Labor's 15 per cent.

Chief Whip Doesn't Have a Majority , which he could defend as his seat of Carmarthen in West and South Pembrokeshire had been abolished and he was expected to lose the newly created seat of Caerfyrddyn to which he had been elected.

Mr Hart won his current seat for Labor at the 2010 election and more than doubled his majority to 7,745 in 2019, but is forecast to win just 27 per cent of the vote to Labour's 40 per cent.

Plaid Cymru was predicted to come third with 15 percent — about the same number of votes as Reform, the Lib Dems and the Greens combined.

When the seat of Culture Secretary for South East Cambridgeshire is abolished at the next election, she will stand in the new constituency of Ely and East Cambridgeshire, where she is predicted to lose to the Lib Dems.

Ms Fraser won the elections. She won a majority of 11,490 votes over her nearest Lib Dem rival in 2019, but that is expected to change this year, with Sir Ed Davey's party winning 33.6 per cent of the vote compared to the Conservatives' 31 per cent.

Since its creation in 1983, Ms Fraser's constituency has been represented by only three different MPs — all Conservatives.

The Welsh Secretary is another cabinet minister whose constituency will cease to exist when the election takes place. He won his seat of Monmouth for Labor in 2005 and has held it in four general elections since, winning in 2019 with a majority of 9,982.

Mr Davies will stand in the new constituency Monmouthshire at the next election but is predicted to lose heavily to Labour. The YouGov poll showed Labor would win 41 per cent of the vote compared to the Tories' 33 per cent, with Reform third with eight per cent.

Even if Reform does not stay in place, a Conservative victory will not be guaranteed because a small tactical vote by the Lib Dems will be enough to eliminate the Tories.

The MP for Plymouth Moor View, who sits in the cabinet as Veterans Affairs Minister, has a majority of 12,897 in Plymouth Moor View, but is expected to lose to Labor.

Mr Mercer's projected vote share of 33 per cent is far less than the 40 per cent projected for Labour, partly because reformist Britain is expected to have one of its strongest results for any cabinet minister, with 11 per cent of the vote.

Labor last won this seat in 2010.

The Scottish Secretary of State has announced he will stand down at the election and, with a majority of 1,805, his Dumfries and Galloway seat is a key target for the Scottish National Party, which is expected to win it from John Cooper, its successor candidate. /p>

Jack's 44 percent share of the vote in the 2019 election is expected to fall to just 26 percent, leaving the Conservatives in second, according to a YouGov poll.

This seat was a Tripartite Margin in recent elections: SNP in 2015 and Labor in 2010.

Sir Ian, the former leader of the Conservative Party, has held the seats of Chingford and Wood Green and its predecessor Chingford since 1992, taking the seat previously held by Lord Tebbit.

His majority was reduced to 1,262, making him very vulnerable, and a YouGov poll predicted he would lose to Labour.

Faiza Shaheen, his Labor opponent in the next election, was expected to win by a landslide of 50 per cent of the vote over Sir Ian. 31 percent, with the Reformists, Lib Dems and Greens each receiving between four and six percent.

Few constituencies are such staunch bricks in the Blue Wall as Wokingham, which has returned a Conservative MP at every election since 1885 (though between 1918 and it did not exist until 1950).

Sir John, a minister in both constituencies. Margaret Thatcher and Sir John Major have held the post since 1987, winning no fewer than nine general elections, but at the age of 72, his Commons career is expected to be over.

A YouGov poll predicted his majority of 7,383 would be decimated by the Liberal Democrats, who would take 37 per cent of the vote to the Tories' 31 per cent. Even without the influence of the Reform Party, which is expected to take 6.5 per cent of the vote, Sir John would struggle to hold on.

Mel Stride, the work and pensions secretary, is set to give up his seat to Labour.

The Central Devon MP won a majority of 17,721 votes. in 2019 after first being elected in 2010.

He was appointed Work and Pensions Secretary in October 2022. Mr Stride said Labour's plan to make benefits more generous would lead to a «devastating» rise in unemployment.