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  5. Ethiopian PM rebuffs mediation attempts as Tigray deadline nears

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Ethiopian PM rebuffs mediation attempts as Tigray deadline nears

Abiy Ahmed, the prime minister of Ethiopia, has forcefully rejected efforts by the international powers to bring hostilities in the north of the country to an end.

Abiy’s statement on Wednesday came only hours before a deadline for the surrender of the leadership of the restive region of Tigray expires, after which federal troops have been ordered to attack its capital.

There are growing calls for mediation to halt a conflict that threatens to destabilise a swath of east Africa. Hundreds, possibly thousands of people, have died so far, and many more forced to flee their homes.

The leader of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), the ruling party in the region, said on Tuesday his people were “ready to die” defending their homeland, rejecting the prime minister’s Sunday night demand that they lay down their arms within 72 hours.

Ahmed launched the military campaign against the TPLF on 4 November, accusing it of attacking federal military camps in the northern region and seeking to destabilise the country.

The 44-year-old leader, who won the Nobel peace prize last year, said the TPLF had orchestrated “spate of violent attacks” across Ethiopia to “frustrate the democratisation process”.

“A fundamental element of the international legal order is the principle of non-intervention in the internal affairs of sovereign states … We respectfully urge the international community to refrain from any unwelcome and unlawful acts of interference ,” Abiy said.

In his first year in office after coming to power in 2018, Abiy released thousands of political prisoners and pushed through a series of reforms. Some of these were reversed in his second year, amid a rise in political and ethnic tension.

Officials in Addis Ababa, the capital, describe the offensive in Tigray as a “law enforcement operation” aiming to remove “traitorous” rebel leaders and restore central authority. The TPLF says it is defending its legitimate rights under Ethiopia’s devolved constitutional system.

The federal army has told reporters its forces are within 37 miles (60km) of Mekelle, Tigray’s capital and the seat of the TPLF.

The army has threatened a “no mercy” assault on the city, warning civilians to distance themselves from the TPLF and leave while they can. The threat has prompted global concern, with human rights campaigners saying it could breach international legal codes.

Abiy has urged the people of Mekelle to side with the national army against the TPLF “in bringing this treasonous group to justice”.

TPLF officials have denied Mekelle is surrounded and spokesman Getachew Reda said an important army unit – which he named as the 21st mechanised division – was destroyed in an assault at Raya-Wajirat led by a former commander of that unit now fighting for the TPLF. The prime minister’s spokeswoman, Billene Seyoum, denied the claim.

However, the clash appears to have taken place 15-20 miles (25-35km) from Mekelle, suggesting that federal troops have advanced a considerable distance into Tigray from the border with neighbouring Amhara province, from where most of their forces started two weeks ago.

By invoking the principle of non-intervention, Ahmed hopes to rally support from other African countries and rebuff intensifying pressure from the United Nations, the US, the EU and other powers for a ceasefire, analysts said.

The UN security council scheduled, cancelled, then rescheduled its first meeting to discuss the situation on Tuesday as African and European nations argued over holding a debate.

The EU, which is a major aid donor to Ethiopia, also expressed concern over “increasing ethnic-targeted violence, numerous casualties and violations of human rights and of international humanitarian law”.

The African Union chair, South Africa’s president, Cyril Ramaphosa, has backed sending three high-level envoys for Ethiopia, an initiative the UN praised for “efforts to peacefully resolve the conflict”, but which seems to have lost momentum.

Officials in Addis Ababa have said any envoys would not be allowed to meet with the TPLF leadership.

Ethiopia has long been a linchpin of US policy in the fragile east-African region and so far Washington has supported Abiy.

Tibor Nagy, the US assistant secretary for African affairs, told reporters last week: “This is not two sovereign states fighting. This is a faction of the government running a region that has decided to undertake hostilities against the central government.”

However, Jake Sullivan, national security adviser-designate for the US president-elect, Joe Biden, said on Wednesday he was “deeply concerned about the risk of violence against civilians, including potential war crimes, in the fighting around Mekelle in Ethiopia” and called for an immediate start to dialogue involving both sides facilitated by the African Union.

A communications blackout in the region has made claims from both sides difficult to verify.

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