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US election poll tracker: Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden win 2020 presidency?

Who will win 2020 presidency?

Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump in the national polls as the US approaches its next presidential election.

Americans will vote on Tuesday 3 November 2020 in order to elect their next President, either giving Republican Donald Trump another four years or handing over the keys to the White House to Democratic challenger Joe Biden.

Currently, the 10-poll average indicates that just under 50 per cent of Americans intend to back Joe Biden while Trump’s support trails this by around five or six points.

But in an unpredictable race thrown into further uncertainty due to the coronavirus crisis, and in an election which saw Trump triumph despite losing the popular vote in 2016, it is still far too early to say who will win the White House later this year. 

Trump vs. Biden 2020 polling live

Trump and Biden to clash in debates

On Tuesday Donald Trump and Joe Biden will face each other for the first time in what may well be a pivotal moment in the election campaign.

Voters will finally get to see how the two men match up when posed the same questions, and how well they put their cases to America.

Presidential debates are a political version of gladiatorial combat and they have, in the past, turned elections.

There are three debates before each election. The first debate in 2016 was watched by a record 84 million people on TV.

That doesn’t include the millions who watched on Facebook, YouTube, and other online venues, or at parties and bars.

For many it was the only time they listened to the candidates speak at length.

Four years ago the polls showed it was reasonably close between Mr Trump and Hillary Clinton with neither delivering a knockout blow. This time Mr Trump sees a chance to obliterate his deficit in the polls in a single evening.

Trump approval static at around 40 per cent

Donald Trump’s presidential approval ratings are at steady levels, according to the Telegraph’s poll tracker.

The tracker, which takes an average of the last eight polls, put Mr Trump’s approval rating at around 44 per cent, while 54 per cent disapprove of the way the President is doing his job.

The President’s approval ratings had recovered slightly recently, after experiencing a "rally around the flag" effect with Americans backing the Government to handle the coronavirus crisis.

The period since Donald Trump’s election has been packed with controversy and intrigue but, underneath it all, few people seem to have really changed their minds about America’s 45th President.

Donald Trump approval rating tracker

His approval rating quickly slumped in the chaotic days after assuming office, with Trump achieving a majority disapproval rating in a record of just eight days. Three years in, he is far less popular than previous presidents at this stage of a presidency — but overall approval has generally remained above 40 per cent.

Still, with the President having defied political gravity four years ago, the jury’s out as to whether he can do the same again against his new Democrat opponent.

Read more: Donald Trump vs Joe Biden: How the Republican and Democratic policies compare

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