England have one foot in the quarter-finals but must not stumble in the next game. Photo: Reuters/Stephanie Lecoq
As the pool stage begins to wind down, the quarter-finals loom on the horizon, with only Wales currently reaching the play-off stage. What do other teams need? And why can Ireland or France still be technically knocked out? Here's your helpful guide to the permutations.
Here are the tiebreakers, in order, if the teams are tied on points:
- The winner of a match in which two teams tied on points is ranked higher.
- The team with the largest difference between points scored and points scored against in all group matches is ranked higher.< /li>
- The team with the largest difference between tries scored and tries scored in all matches in the group will receive a higher rating.
- The team with the most points in all matches in the group will receive higher rating. .
- The team scoring the most tries in all of their pool matches will be ranked higher.
- If the tie is not resolved at the end of stages one to five, the ranking will be According to the updated Official World Rugby Rankings dated 9 October 2023, the team with the higher ranking will be determined. View the Official World Rugby Rankings
Pool A reshuffles 
France could be without captain Antoine Dupont (right) after the scrum-half suffered a facial fracture against Namibia. Photo: Getty Images/Paul Harding France
Win:New Zealand 27-13, Uruguay 27-12, Namibia 96-0
Loses: —< br />< strong>Play: Italy
They will still have to beat Italy to guarantee a place in the quarter-finals, given that they could be eliminated from the top two if New Zealand win both matches and collect one try bonus point to end up in 14th and France lose to the Azzurri (no bonus points). Level on points with New Zealand (possibly drawing with Italy) and France will progress by winning this first game.
Italy
Win:Namibia 52–8, Uruguay 38– 17
Losses: —
Play: New Zealand, France
They have the most difficult matches ahead, but the mission has already been completed with the maximum number of points. A shock France or New Zealand without Dupont could take them out, as could a draw with the All Blacks while also earning a bonus point.
New Zealand
Wins:Namibia 71- 3
Losses:France 13–27
Play:Italy, Uruguay
Naturally, after that there is a lot of work left, the first defeat, but if they beat Italy on Friday, ideally with a bonus point, they will retake the lead and finish second.
Uruguay
Vins:—
Defeats: France 12–27, Italy 17–38
Will play: Namibia, New Zealand
I won’t go, passed , but played valiantly and their entire tournament was focused on trying to secure their second ever Rugby World Cup win over Namibia.
Namibia
Wins: —
< strong >Losses:Italy 8–52, New Zealand 3–71, France 0–96
Playing:Uruguay
They were simply chasing their first ever Rugby World Cup win, having tactically rested most of their team against France. Losing Johan Deisel to suspension for a tackle on Dupont is a blow.
Group B reshuffle 
Ireland still have to beat Scotland if they are to be assured of making the play-offs. Photo: Getty Images/Lionel Khan Ireland
Win: Romania 82-8, Tonga 59-16, South Africa 13-8
Defeats: —
Play: Scotland
The hard work is almost done, but a defeat to Scotland will leave them in a difficult position, assuming Scotland win over Romania with bonus points, given the possibility of a tie with Scotland, who will hold the head-to-head account. Some bonus point would have prevented disaster.
South Africa
Wins:Scotland 18-3, Romania 76-0
Loses:Ireland 8–13
Playing: Tonga
A bonus-point win over Tonga and a Scotland win over Ireland would be enough to put South Africa top of the group. The situation they want to avoid is being level on points with Ireland and moving into second place if Scotland take maximum points, given that Ireland will be neck-and-neck after winning in Paris.
Scotland< p> Victories: Tonga 45–17
Losses: South Africa 3–18
Playing:Romania, Ireland. Fail to beat Ireland and they're out first, and it's worth noting that Ireland have won their last eight meetings, dating back to 2017. It's also worth noting that if Scotland end up level on points with Ireland and South Africa and it comes down to head-to-head matches, then points difference will come into play. Scotland needs a big win over Romania to catch the other two.
Tonga
Wins: —
Losses: Ireland 16–59, Scotland 17–45
Playing: South Africa, Romania
< p>As strange as it may sound, considering they have no points, if Tonga can get to 10 point level by winning their last two matches with bonus points, and have a better points differential, they can sneak into third place and automatic qualify for participation in the tournament. RWC 2027. However, Scotland is in the lead.
Romania
Victories: —
Losses:Ireland 8-82, South Africa 0-76
Game:Scotland, Tonga
Scenario similar to the (incredibly unlikely) Tonga scenario, for except they will need to beat both Scotland and Tonga. .
Pool C reshuffle 
Wales are the first team to reach the quarter-finals after their record win over Australia. Photo: Getty Images/Jan Kruger Wales
Victories:Fiji 32–26, Portugal 28–8, Australia 40–6
Loses: —
Play : Georgia
Happy days for Wales, the only team to qualify so far, who simply need a win over Georgia to top the group given that Fiji can still mathematically sneak in there. A draw or two bonus points will also be enough.
Fiji
Win:Australia 22-15
Loses:Wales 36-32< br/>Will play:Georgia, Portugal
Real potential for Fiji to get a maximum of 10 points in the last two games, having not lost to Georgia since 2016. Wales loses. facing the same opponent seems unlikely, but if they did, Fiji could take first place.
Australia
Win:Georgia 35-15
< strong>Losses:Fiji 15–22, Wales 6–40
Playing:Portugal
Even a bonus-point win over Portugal wouldn't be enough for the Wallabies as they need Fiji to lose both matches. And if, thanks to a combination of bonus points, they end up leveling Fiji on 11, then Fiji will retain the head-to-head tie. If Australia loses to Portugal (who knows at this point), it might even be in trouble for third place and qualifying for 2027.
Georgia
Wins:—
< strong >Draws:Portugal 18–18
Losses:Australia 15-35
Playing:Fiji, Wales
< p>The failure in the match against Portugal was something of a disaster, given that Georgia could have challenged the Wallabies for third place. There's still a chance of that happening, but it will require a win over Fiji, a few extra points and a miracle for Portugal.
Portugal
Wins: —
Draws:< /strong>Georgia 18–18
Loses:Wales 8–28
Playing:Australia, Fiji
Imagine if everyone wanted Portugal to win the Rugby World Cup for the first time in history over Georgia (except for the win in Tbilisi). Can they shock Australia and challenge for third place? Hardly. Would be fun though.
Pool reshuffles D 
England will reach the quarter-finals if they beat Samoa. Photo: Getty Images/David Ramos. England
Win:Argentina 27–10, Japan 34–12, Chile 71–0
Losses:—
Where to play: Samoa
I wonder why England haven't qualified yet? We're here to help.
Collecting 14 of the 15 points was impressive, but a Samoan win over England (assuming Samoa also beat Japan with a bonus point) would have left the two teams tied on 14 points, with England losing the head-to-head matches. -head.
Now a try or the loss of a bonus point will be enough for England to go home with 15 points. But this means England are not yet finished mathematically because, in addition, Argentina could win their final two matches with bonus points, creating a potential three-way 14-point tie — Samoa would beat England, England would beat Argentina and Argentina would beat Argentina. Samoa is where it's at when it comes to points difference. Fortunately, England is healthy at the moment.
Samoa
Win: Chile 43–10
Loses: Argentina 10–19
Ready to play:Japan, England
Still in dispute for reasons listed above. Two bonus-point wins would even take them to the top of the list, ahead of England (assuming England gain nothing from the game). Currently ahead of Japan on points difference, although both teams will be separated after Thursday's game.
Japan
Wins: Chile 42-12
Loses:< /strong>England 12–34
Play:Samoa, Argentina
Less of a threat to England as they have no head-to-head advantage, although two bonus-point wins and nothing for England over Samoa could technically see Japan top the group.
Argentina
Wins: Samoa 19–10
Losses: England 10–27
Playing: Chile, Japan
It’s hard to imagine that they will suddenly bounce back from a poor tournament by beating Samoa, but as mentioned above could still be in contention for top spots if they get two bonus-point wins (and England get nothing against Samoa).
Chile
Win: —
Loses: Japan 12–42, Samoa 10–43, England 0–71
Play: Argentina
Winless and meaningless, but they have a match that will mean they finish last in the South American derby against Argentina. Technically cannot take third place and qualify for 2027 even with bonus points won due to head-to-head meetings with Japan and Samoa.
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