Labor lead Tory falls amid economic recovery

Sir Keir Starmer's net satisfaction rating has risen from minus 31 to minus 18. Photo: Victoria Jones/PA Wire

New poll finds Labour's lead over the Tories has fallen as the public sees more signs of economic recovery.

The latest Ipsos poll, conducted between May 8 and 14, puts Labor at 41 seats. cent and the Conservatives — by 20 percent, which reduced Labor's lead from 25 points to 21.

Labor is down three points and the Conservatives up one point since the company's previous political monitoring survey in April. .

Both the Liberal Democrats and the Greens gained two points each, for a tie of 11 percent.

Reform in the UK fell four points to nine percent.

p> > Economic optimism rises

There was good news for the Conservatives as they found a sharp rise in economic optimism.

May 10 — poll period — Office for National Statistics announced that the British economy grew by 0.6 percent in the first quarter of the year.

This meant that the UK had emerged from a technical recession.

This follows other good news about wage growth rising above inflation, energy prices falling, and tax cuts in the March Budget.

When asked whether the economy would improve in the next 12 months, 33 percent of the 1,008 people surveyed said , which would improve (up 12 points from April), while 27 percent said it would get worse (down 15 points).

The rest said it would stay the same—or they didn't know it.< /p>

Rishi Sunak's personal rating improved slightly, rising one place among those who said they were satisfied with his performance and falling three. scores among those who expressed dissatisfaction.

However, the net rating is still minus 55.

Meanwhile, 78 percent of people said they think the government «did a poor job» and 13 percent said it «did a good job.»

Ipsos found that Sir Keir Starmer's net satisfaction rating rose to minus 18 points, up from minus 31 a year earlier.

About 32 percent of them were satisfied with their work.” job he did, compared with 50 per cent of those who did not.

The poll also found that almost three-quarters of voters believe it is «time for change» at the next general election.

Only 18 percent agreed with the statement that “the next election is not the time for change.”< /p>Scottish Labor ahead of SNP

In Scotland, Labor edged ahead of the SNP in the polls after John Swinney replaced Humza Yousaf as First Minister.

A YouGov poll found that 39 per cent of Scots plan to vote for Labor in this year's general election, which up five points from a similar poll conducted late last month, shortly before Mr Yousaf's resignation.

In contrast, support for the SNP fell four points to 29 percent, meaning the Nationalists now trail Labor by 10 points.

In a significant boost to Sir Keir Starmer's hopes of becoming prime minister, Labour's vote share party and the SNP were respectively the highest and lowest figures since the independence referendum in September 2014.

Support for the SNP continued to decline despite voters being more favorable towards Swinney than Yousaf. and many believed that he would cope better with the role of first minister.

Mr Yousaf's decision to give up his power sharing deal with the Scottish Greens backfired when they agreed to support a Tory motion of no confidence. He was forced to resign on April 29 after it became clear he would lose the vote.

But the poll appeared to have dented SNP hopes that crowning Mr Swinney as his successor would «stabilize ship». Labor also has a slight lead in the Holyrood vote.

A majority of Scots (58 to 62 percent) said they have little faith in the Scottish National Party (SNP) to make the right decisions on economic and health issues. service, schools, policing and climate change.

The survey of 1,114 Scots was carried out between May 13 and 17, a week after Mr Swinney took over from Mr Yousaf.

< p>The SNP has been approached for comment.