Scottish Labor leader Anas Sarwar celebrates the victory of the Labor Party's Michael Shanks in the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election. Photo: Jane Barlow/PA Wire
Labour can beat the SNP across Scotland because Humza Yousaf no longer puts voters first, Anas Sarwar will tell his party's UK conference after a poll showed he is going to become first minister.
< p>The Scottish Labor leader will argue that his party's overwhelming victories in the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-elections showed that «the cracks in the foundations of the Scottish National Party are deeper and wider than they have ever admitted.»
In In his keynote address to Labour's Liverpool conference on Monday afternoon, he will say senior nationalists have «missed the point» by blaming tactical union voting for the huge scale of their defeat.
Instead, he will argue that the SNP lost so badly because «they made the mistake of thinking politics is a game» by focusing on «the same old constitutional battles» instead of improving public services in Scotland.
< p >In a direct challenge to the First Minister, Mr Sarwar will say: “So I say to Humza Yousaf: this is not about swings or polls – this is about putting the people of Scotland first.”
«And because you don't, we can defeat you all over Scotland. Every community in Scotland now has the chance to choose change with Scottish Labour.”
His speech followed an extraordinary 20.4 per cent swing from the SNP to Labor in last week's by-election, with winning candidate Michael Shanks winning almost 60 per cent of the popular vote.
Sir John Curtis, Britain's most eminent psychologist , said similar swings across the country would result in Labor winning 42 seats — up from one at the last election.
The SNP's tally will fall from 48 to six — the same as it was before the election. The 2014 independence referendum, which saw a surge in popular support.
Mr Sarwar will also speak at the conference after polling also showed Labor was likely to be the biggest party in Holyrood at the election 2026, rising from third place currently, which will put Mr. Sarwar in the position of the first minister in the polls.
< p>A Panelbase poll for The Sunday Times showed the SNP had fallen one point to 35 per cent of the constituency vote compared with a similar poll conducted in June, while Labor remained on 32 per cent.
Conservatives will rise three points to 16 percent, the Lib Dems will fall two points to nine percent, the Greens will remain at seven percent and the rest will rise to one percent.
Regional list voting
But in the regional list vote, which uses a form of proportional representation, Labor rose two points to 30 percent, ahead of the Scottish National Party, which fell one point to 29 percent.
The Tories went up one point to 18 per cent, while the Greens and Lib Dems remained on 12 per cent and eight per cent respectively.
Sir John said this would almost double the number of Labor Party MPs to 42, and the number of Scottish National members party will fall from 64 to 41.
Mr Yousaf's Green Coalition partners would win 15 votes instead of seven, but the two pro-independence parties would be nine seats short of a combined majority.
The poll also predicted the Scottish National Party would remain Scotland's largest party in Westminster after the next general election, winning 26 seats compared to 48 seats. they won the 2019 contest.
Labour will rise from the one seat they held last time to 22, boosting Sir Keir Starmer's chances of becoming prime minister, while the Tories will retain their six constituencies and the Liberal Democrats. five.
Mr Sarwar remained the most popular party leader with a net rating of minus two — the difference between the proportion of Scots who approve and disapprove of his performance.
Mr Yousaf's rating fell by seven points to minus 19, and Scottish Conservative leader Douglas Ross' rating fell three points to minus 37.
The Scottish National Party has been approached for comment.
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