A group of people believed to be migrants arrived at a beach in the UK earlier this month. Photo: Gareth Fuller/PA
Deporting An economic analysis by the Home Office estimates that migrants to a «safe country» such as Rwanda will cost the taxpayer around £169,000.
The analysis showed that it costs £106,000 to accommodate and support each migrant in the country. Great Britain, but suggested that this difference could be offset by the deterrent effect of the Rwanda policy.
An impact assessment of the deportation plans enshrined in the government's Illegal Migration Bill suggests that a 37 per cent reduction in the number of migrants crossing English Channel, so that the scheme actually «pays off» and begins to «save» taxpayers' money.
However, he warned that inaction could see the daily bill for migrants staying in hotels and other accommodation rise from the current £6m a day to £32m a day, or £11bn, by 2026. sterling per year. to the cost of a 2p income tax reduction.
Suella Braverman, secretary of the interior, said: “Our impact assessment shows that doing nothing is not an option. We cannot afford to continue a system that encourages people to risk their lives and pay smugglers to come to this country illegally, putting an unacceptable burden on UK taxpayers.”
The analysis released on Monday came after after the Court of Appeal judges announced they would rule on the legality of the scheme in Rwanda on Thursday, which could set the stage for the first deportation flights as early as September.
Under the Irregular Migration Act, almost all migrants entering the UK illegally will be detained and deported to a safe third country such as Rwanda or their home country. They will only be allowed to contest the decision or seek asylum after they have been expelled from the UK.
If only all 11,000 people who arrived from the English Channel that year were deported at a cost of £1.8 billion according to the report. Last year, a record 45,755 people crossed the English Channel.
Although this year's total is about 7% less than last year at the same point, internal estimates from the Department of the Interior predict that the number of people crossing in 2023 could reach 80,000.
Spending on the deportation of £169,000 per migrant includes payment to Rwanda, which received £140 million from the UK, the costs of running the Home Office, flights, escorts and detention.
The £106,000 to process a migrant in the UK includes accommodation of £85 per night and support for approximately four years while their asylum application is being processed and appeals are heard.
The analysis warned, however, that The average cost per night of staying and supporting a migrant in a hotel or accommodation will rise to £126 in 2024, £152 in 2025 and £178 in 2026, in line with current trends.
Without the government finding alternatives to hotels or speeding up the processing of the backlog of asylum applications, the report predicts that the number of hosted and receiving government support will rise from 114,000 now to 185,000 by 2026 at a total cost of £32m a day . .
Ministers believe a deterrent effect, modeled on a similar successful policy in Australia, will reduce the number of people crossing the English Channel, but the analysis acknowledged: “The bill is a new and untested scheme and therefore it is not clear what level of deterrent effect this would have.”
She also acknowledged that the estimate of “cost savings” from moving migrants to safe third countries such as Rwanda was “very uncertain.”
p>The Home Office analysts also had to base their calculations not on estimates of the Rwanda scheme, which is a trade secret, but on a «proxy» for the Syrian refugee scheme.
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